Sunday, 18 November 2018

How to calculate cash settlement when warrants expire?

What happens at expiry?
A call warrant will have value at expiry if the settlement level is above the exercise level. In such instances, the warrant is said to be in-the-money (ITM), and therefore will be automatically exercised on the expiry date.  For example, assuming the Hang Seng futures March contract close at 20,500 points in March.  HSI-C13, which has an exercise level of 21,600, is said to be expiring ITM and will be automatically exercised on the expiry date.
In contrast, a call warrant with the settlement level equal to or lower than the exercise level will expire worthless.
Put warrants, on the other hand, will carry value at expiry if the settlement level is below the exercise level. For example, assuming the Hang Seng futures March contract settle at 20,000 in March.  HSI-HS whose exercise level is 21,400, is said to be expiring ITM and will be automatically exercised on the expiry date. However, it will expire worthless if the settlement level rises above the exercise level at expiry.

What is the settlement level?
For index warrants, the settlement level is the final settlement price for settling the corresponding spot-month index futures (at expiry) on the respective exchange.
  • Hang Seng warrants will be settled using the settlement price of the Hang Seng futures
  • China A50 warrants will be settled using the settlement price of the China A50 Futures

How to calculate the Cash Settlement Amount (CSA)?
CSA for HSI warrants = Number of Call Warrants x (Settlement Level – Exercise Level) / Exercise Ratio x HKD/MYR FX Rate
CSA for HSI put warrants = Number of Put Warrants x (Exercise Level - Settlement Level) / Exercise Ratio x HKD/MYR FX Rate
CSA for A50 call warrants = Number of Call Warrants x (Settlement Level – Exercise Level) / Exercise Ratio x USD/MYR FX Rate
CSA for A50 put warrants = Number of Put Warrants x (Exercise Level - Settlement Level) / Exercise  Ratio x USD/MYR FX Rate

Example settlement calculation for HSI-C14
Expiry date: 30th March 16
Exercise level: 20,200
Exercise ratio: 900 warrants to 1
HKD/MYR on 30th March 16: 0.50 (illustration)
Settlement level for HSI futures: 20,500 (illustration)
Cash Settlement Price    = [(20,500 – 20,200) / 900] x 0.50
              = MYR 0.1667 per warrant
If you are holding 100,000 units of HSI-C14 after the warrant’s last trading day on 25th March (Friday), you will receive MYR 16,670 which is calculated as per below:
100,000 units of HSI-C14 x MYR 0.1667 per warrant = MYR 16,670
This warrant will be automatically exercised at 5.00 pm on 30th March and a cheque for that amount will be mailed to the relevant warrants’ holders within 7 market days from the Expiry Date. The exercise expense for all warrants listed by Macquarie are absorbed by Macquarie.

Warrants have similar characteristics to that of other equity derivatives, such as options, for instance:
  • Exercising: A warrant is exercised when the holder informs the issuer their intention to purchase the shares underlying the warrant.
The warrant parameters, such as exercise price, are fixed shortly after the issue of the bond. With warrants, it is important to consider the following main characteristics:
  • Premium: A warrant's "premium" represents how much extra you have to pay for your shares when buying them through the warrant as compared to buying them in the regular way.
  • Gearing (leverage): A warrant's "gearing" is the way to ascertain how much more exposure you have to the underlying shares using the warrant as compared to the exposure you would have if you buy shares through the market.
  • Expiration Date: This is the date the warrant expires. If you plan on exercising the warrant you must do so before the expiration date. The more time remaining until expiry, the more time for the underlying security to appreciate, which, in turn, will increase the price of the warrant (unless it depreciates). Therefore, the expiry date is the date on which the right to exercise ceases to exist.
  • Restrictions on exercise: Like options, there are different exercise types associated with warrants such as American style (holder can exercise anytime before expiration) or European style (holder can only exercise on expiration date).
Warrants are longer-dated options and are generally traded over-the-counter.

Thursday, 1 November 2018

最佳买入股票的时机

侧身报坛30年,我很了解报章选择新闻的心态:报纸对突发性和灾难性事件最感兴趣,这是我们(我是其中一份子)选择每天头条新闻的标准之一,因为这是读者最感兴趣的新闻。 

所以,坏消息的数量通常远远超过好消息。负面新闻也多过正面新闻。对新闻工作者来说:“没有消息就是坏消息”。 

对任何人来说:平安无事才是最好的消息,但是天下太平,对新闻业来说,是最头痛的时刻,因为选稿不易,报道死气沉沉也。 

所以,不要被媒体的负面报道所误导,因为最坏的消息,就是最好的新闻,如果你跟着媒体的情绪投资的话,你的投资多数会以悲剧收场。 

要在股市投资成功,一定要学习跟媒体的情绪抬扛-当最坏的消息出现时,可能就是好消息出现的开始。 

#报纸坏消息越多 
#就是反向买入的机会

Saturday, 21 July 2018

一分钟搞懂MRTA和MLTA有什么不同

无论什么行业,都会出现素质良莠不齐的业务员,可能出于不够专业,或为一己私利,而误导消费者。购置房产的买家,在考虑或选取房屋贷款保险时,可能也面对资讯不正确而不知道如何做抉择。
《潮楼产业》通过图表为读者梳理出递减式房贷保险(MRTA)和抵押定额式房贷保险(MLTA)的不同,让买家厘清当中的迷思,确保消费者不会纯粹想为房贷买个保障,却变成了购买人寿保险,当然,如果想注入额外的财务保障,也有房屋贷款保险把人寿保险也包含在内。
每家银行都有各自的规定,有者限定借贷者一定要买MRTA,其实国家银行迄今都没有这样的明文规定,惟强烈建议借贷者为房贷买个保障;而包含人寿保险的MLTA费用较高,一般上不受借贷者青睐,同时也不一定要买,这一点须谨记。
MLTA的保费付款方式比较灵活,业主可选择以每月、每季、每半年或每年分期缴付。MLTA所赋予的保障可被转移至新购房产,其受益人可以是任何人。
 MRTAMLTA
优点提供业主房贷保障具有同样保障,并多了储蓄与现金价值
付款方式一次过定期付费
保障保额将会定期性递减保额保持不变
承保范围按揭贷款按揭贷款·包含人寿保险,可选择性加入36种危疾保障。
保险类别定期保险定期保险或终生寿险
转让不可以可以
现金价值没有。保单随贷款期限终止而届满。有。投保人可或现金价值。
受益人提名银行任何人
举例加以说明MRTA与MLTA的实质不同
 MRTAMLTA
年龄2525
按揭贷款RM540,000RM540,000
赛款期限30年30年
利率4%4%
保费一次过—RM16,290.00每年—RM2,554.20
半年—RM1,302.65
季度—RM657.70
每月—RM223.50
保额RM540,000;定期性递减,保障范围只限于残障或身亡,保险公司将赔偿给银行未缴清的贷款。RM540,000加上其他的选项保障,所以保额会更高。
现金回退(贷款期满)没有有。根据投资回报而获得现金回退。
来源: 大东方人寿保险(马)有限公司
总结:
无论是MRTA或是MLTA,都是为借贷者买一个保障,一旦借贷者发生不幸事故,保险公司将代投保者偿还未缴清的房贷。
比较不同的是MLTA提供更充分的保障,当购买了MLTA后,万一发生生命意外,你家人获得保险赔偿,并可用这笔钱来支付包括房屋贷款在内的任何需要。不过,如果你已经拥有充足的人寿或医疗保险的保障,MLTA又未必是你的选项。

Friday, 13 April 2018

如何克服心理战术买在股票低点

近期马股因为中美贸易战而导致世界个地主要的股市都大跌,投资者都为这突如期来的大跌纷纷把手头上的股票卖了,要钱不要票。大家是否有想想为什么把手头上的股票给卖了。

(1)公司业绩变差??
 
如果公司业绩没变差,试问你为何把它买了呢?应该把握着机会,乘机吸纳。

所以你在买入那家公司前要对那公司有所了解。勇敢在市场下跌时加码。

以下是几间公司在下跌时让后再反弹:

(1) Krono

  (2) GHLSys

(3) Dsonic

(4) N2N

Monday, 9 April 2018

股市名言

🎈在股票一轮大跌时,人们常因缺乏认知,并做出最可怕的7种错误行为:

1、#盲目寻底
期待底部的到来是人性的弱点。以为自己买了个好价钱,结果之后没有最低,只有更低。

2、#错用相反理论
下跌的过程总是伴随恐慌和绝望,如果你相信“别人恐惧我贪婪”的话,套牢亏损是你必然的选择。相反理论是有用的,但前提是你要有全面的知识。

3、#过于期待利好消息
一轮股市大跌有利好消息是不足为奇的事情,散户往往一见利好就买进,反映的是被套的人的期待和幻想。在不确定性完全解除之前,只是骗人进场做替死鬼。

4、#补仓套死自己
几乎很多基本面派都教你补仓以降低成本,可是大跌过程中补仓是最错误的行为! 补仓虽然可以降低持股成本,但是你的成本依然高于现在的股价。大跌过程中,补仓事实上是在自己脖子拷上枷锁。

5、#抢反弹
为了回本,很多人在努力地寻找反弹的机会以用小的差价减少损失,由于跌势的反弹总是昙花一现和是为下跌积蓄能量,所以抢反弹的结果往往是再度套牢和再次亏损。

6、#追买强势股票
逆势的股票是存在的,但最终依然要追随大市的步伐下跌,强在一时,补跌总是难免的。而多数人喜欢看到青色的东西,喜欢看到强势股带来的机会。于是连续观察之后去追买,OK,你买完之后就是补跌,你的亏损因此而生。

7、#相信套不死
被套之后很多人会说我不卖,我等它回来了。甚至会拿股神的话安慰自己,且不说时间是有成本的,套牢也给你带来更大的下跌亏损风险。

Thursday, 5 April 2018

中美贸易战

中国还击时间: 4/4/2018

KLSE指数


指数 下跌 34.84 点


晚上美国Donald Trump 说没要和中国打贸易战。真的是来一个U 转。
-DonaldTrump 和金正恩 说要打战, 最后也只是说说, 还谈判起来了。。

Conclusion:
股市是抓摸不清的,只选好股,别理太多政客所说的话。


Sunday, 7 January 2018

买卖明言

TRADE WHAT YOU SEE
NOT WHAT YOU THINK
ONLY BUY ON DIPS
NO EMOTIONAL
NEVER CHASE